首先，取2009年各市评价因子指标的最小值作为房地产可持续发展能力的基准值 ，以2009年各指标的最大值作为目标值 ，构造经典域<，。由公式（1）建立21维物元模型：
表2 各市各指标情况统计表
| |
v1
|
v2
|
v3
|
v4
|
v5
|
v6
|
v7
|
v8
|
v9
|
|
c1
|
3898
|
5951
|
4105
|
2764
|
3066
|
2159
|
942
|
1062
|
2976
|
|
c2
|
244.65
|
108.12
|
151.81
|
176.26
|
254.75
|
134.94
|
132.41
|
118.39
|
133.54
|
|
c3
|
96.67
|
91.96
|
98.41
|
98.97
|
90.83
|
91.23
|
99.04
|
99.63
|
98.94
|
|
c4
|
16.32
|
-4.76
|
9.97
|
16.64
|
9.71
|
-0.73
|
-0.28
|
-3.43
|
16.59
|
|
c5
|
34482
|
17029
|
7887
|
8982
|
13632
|
6475
|
18884
|
12623
|
87068
|
|
c6
|
24443.59
|
20333.33
|
16536.59
|
15422.19
|
17747.41
|
15588.59
|
23585.86
|
19302.06
|
21818.18
|
|
c7
|
36939
|
23130
|
5139
|
8168
|
65
|
6072
|
26257
|
6556
|
4877
|
|
c8
|
517.34
|
449.15
|
361.18
|
322.1
|
526.63
|
324.81
|
376.46
|
475
|
288.17
|
|
c9
|
34.89
|
12.67
|
9.14
|
16.6
|
21.45
|
26.52
|
18.4
|
19.17
|
21.24
|
|
c10
|
36.84
|
41.99
|
38.38
|
36.39
|
33.2
|
25.09
|
40.6
|
32.19
|
35.13
|
|
c11
|
10.3
|
12.42
|
7.59
|
7.35
|
8.88
|
4.39
|
11.65
|
7.3
|
7.92
|
|
c12
|
82.19
|
90.41
|
97.26
|
98.36
|
96.44
|
98.36
|
90.41
|
98.07
|
99.18
|
|
c13
|
94.38
|
98.67
|
99.61
|
78.44
|
97.15
|
98.98
|
92.05
|
95.17
|
98.05
|
|
c14
|
99.58
|
92.47
|
98.89
|
96.77
|
85.53
|
89.45
|
90.55
|
90.77
|
81.03
|
|
c15
|
117
|
39.5
|
7.5
|
15.14
|
77.23
|
35.5
|
60.5
|
18
|
25
|
|
c16
|
47315
|
18630
|
100610
|
7800
|
28463
|
6750
|
16900
|
5935
|
6545
|
|
c17
|
2.95
|
4.13
|
-0.26
|
0.98
|
1.18
|
0.53
|
2.05
|
0.83
|
0.89
|
|
c18
|
13.93
|
19.72
|
16.79
|
31.33
|
25.14
|
26.88
|
35.67
|
24.39
|
21.33
|
|
c19
|
19.36
|
18.89
|
35.97
|
31.31
|
17.67.23.98
|
17.7
|
26.7
|
18.99
|
26.54
|
|
c20
|
1.49
|
2.5
|
3.96
|
5.1
|
2.5
|
4.59
|
2.13
|
3.07
|
4.78
|
|
c21
|
10541
|
5164
|
1770
|
2404
|
8690
|
3500
|
5455
|
2337
|
3049
|
| |
v10
|
v11
|
v12
|
v13
|
v14
|
v15
|
v16
|
v17
|
|
|
c1
|
5064
|
2008
|
4212
|
1898
|
2314
|
901
|
1920
|
580
|
|
|
c2
|
202.57
|
174.82
|
178.16
|
136.81
|
178.45
|
217.08
|
149.48
|
149.63
|
|
|
c3
|
100
|
93.78
|
98.72
|
98.55
|
100
|
96.2
|
93.94
|
99.3
|
|
|
c4
|
-6.05
|
-7.09
|
31.35
|
12.58
|
15.12
|
30.2
|
20.5
|
-3.06
|
|
|
c5
|
49824
|
11600
|
33024
|
15954
|
44870
|
14147
|
12596
|
16867
|
|
|
c6
|
33216.18
|
24124.27
|
23198.64
|
20378.79
|
22724.41
|
31549.02
|
18485.87
|
27551.02
|
|
|
c7
|
13015
|
552
|
8400
|
281
|
12302
|
4675
|
12350
|
7169
|
|
|
c8
|
1009.78
|
366.34
|
652.07
|
415.12
|
712.88
|
559.25
|
260.49
|
406.96
|
|
|
c9
|
20.86
|
30.43
|
34.76
|
17.47
|
26.77
|
23.61
|
23.56
|
31.92
|
|
|
c10
|
42.32
|
36.3
|
38.03
|
38.53
|
40.85
|
41.7
|
38.98
|
48.93
|
|
|
c11
|
13.25
|
8.07
|
9.08
|
7.63
|
10.86
|
14.82
|
9.18
|
14.51
|
|
|
c12
|
94.95
|
95.89
|
98.63
|
96.97
|
94.25
|
98.9
|
98.9
|
1
|
|
|
c13
|
94.18
|
94.26
|
98.03
|
95.9
|
99.46
|
97.01
|
78.74
|
1
|
|
|
c14
|
59.07
|
69.77
|
94.58
|
95.12
|
84.11
|
75
|
98.29
|
83.33
|
|
|
c15
|
1030.55
|
20.2
|
77
|
18.7
|
61.3
|
8.7
|
65.6
|
18.36
|
|
|
c16
|
0
|
6460
|
32840
|
4253
|
18075
|
3973
|
347865
|
10497
|
|
|
c17
|
3.2
|
1.07
|
3.98
|
1.54
|
5.65
|
1.36
|
1.08
|
2.2
|
|
|
c18
|
45.19
|
30.86
|
14.2
|
25.46
|
20.92
|
28.9
|
28.95
|
21.44
|
|
|
c19
|
18.59
|
22.27
|
18.99
|
26.54
|
19.2
|
24.49
|
20.98
|
25.77
|
|
|
c20
|
1.06
|
3.77
|
1.47
|
2.75
|
1.5
|
3.75
|
3.81
|
2.34
|
|
|
c21
|
5710
|
3824
|
6490
|
3141
|
9530
|
3227
|
4079
|
5805
|
|
第二步，由公式（2）～(6)的公式分别计算出关联度和权重，计算结果如表3，最后由公式（7）计算出优度，计算结果如表4所示：
表3 关联度与权重计算结果
| |
v1
|
v2
|
v3
|
v4
|
v5
|
v6
|
v7
|
v8
|
v9
|
|
|
c1
|
0.0502
|
0.3675
|
0.0689
|
0.0002
|
0.0048
|
0.0100
|
0.1065
|
0.0925
|
0.0027
|
|
|
c2
|
0.1192
|
0.4286
|
0.1120
|
0.0242
|
0.1758
|
0.2100
|
0.2273
|
0.3358
|
0.2195
|
|
|
c3
|
0.0003
|
0.2825
|
0.0296
|
0.0543
|
0.4286
|
0.3734
|
0.0579
|
0.0930
|
0.0528
|
|
|
c4
|
0.0359
|
0.1288
|
0.0006
|
0.0391
|
0.0003
|
0.0645
|
0.0587
|
0.1052
|
0.0386
|
|
|
c5
|
0.1231
|
0.0027
|
0.0690
|
0.0563
|
0.0169
|
0.0871
|
0.0001
|
0.0235
|
0.0587
|
|
|
c6
|
0.0171
|
0.0101
|
0.0984
|
0.1416
|
0.0603
|
0.1347
|
0.0068
|
0.0250
|
0.0003
|
|
|
c7
|
0.5200
|
0.1201
|
0.0200
|
0.0035
|
0.0778
|
0.0135
|
0.1861
|
0.0106
|
0.0220
|
|
|
c8
|
0.0037
|
0.0009
|
0.0219
|
0.0400
|
0.0053
|
0.0386
|
0.0163
|
0.0000
|
0.0602
|
|
|
c9
|
0.2165
|
0.1581
|
0.2859
|
0.0600
|
0.0032
|
0.0197
|
0.0307
|
0.0211
|
0.0042
|
|
|
c10
|
0.0022
|
0.0285
|
0.0003
|
0.0044
|
0.0400
|
0.2918
|
0.0122
|
0.0587
|
0.0142
|
|
|
c11
|
0.0031
|
0.0671
|
0.0416
|
0.0515
|
0.0064
|
0.2609
|
0.0343
|
0.0537
|
0.0297
|
|
|
c12
|
0.5869
|
0.0928
|
0.0064
|
0.0201
|
0.0012
|
0.0201
|
0.0928
|
0.0158
|
0.0353
|
|
|
c13
|
0.0002
|
0.0337
|
0.0516
|
0.5696
|
0.0128
|
0.0392
|
0.0152
|
0.0005
|
0.0240
|
|
|
c14
|
0.0917
|
0.0162
|
0.0817
|
0.0545
|
0.0019
|
0.0028
|
0.0064
|
0.0073
|
0.0241
|
|
|
c15
|
0.0093
|
0.0004
|
0.0001
|
0.0000
|
0.0033
|
0.0003
|
0.0017
|
0.0000
|
0.0000
|
|
|
c16
|
0.0112
|
0.0005
|
0.0000
|
0.0001
|
0.0027
|
0.0001
|
0.0003
|
0.0002
|
0.0001
|
|
|
c17
|
0.0279
|
0.1345
|
0.1414
|
0.0276
|
0.0175
|
0.0587
|
0.0002
|
0.0367
|
0.0329
|
|
|
c18
|
0.1360
|
0.0331
|
0.0765
|
0.0371
|
0.0000
|
0.0024
|
0.1107
|
0.0010
|
0.0169
|
|
|
c19
|
0.0483
|
0.0602
|
0.4732
|
0.1877
|
0.0974
|
0.0011
|
0.0964
|
0.0963
|
0.0329
|
|
|
c20
|
0.1350
|
0.0138
|
0.0595
|
0.2768
|
0.0138
|
0.1599
|
0.0437
|
0.0006
|
0.1997
|
|
|
c21
|
0.4014
|
0.0004
|
0.1342
|
0.0865
|
0.1786
|
0.0286
|
0.0029
|
0.0911
|
0.0487
|
|
| |
v10
|
v11
|
v12
|
v13
|
v14
|
v15
|
v16
|
v17
|
求和(Ki)
|
权值
|
|
c1
|
0.1945
|
0.0164
|
0.0798
|
0.0220
|
0.0050
|
0.1116
|
0.0208
|
0.1551
|
1.3084
|
0.0474
|
|
c2
|
0.0014
|
0.0276
|
0.0201
|
0.1976
|
0.0195
|
0.0206
|
0.1237
|
0.1230
|
2.3860
|
0.0865
|
|
c3
|
0.1192
|
0.1109
|
0.0423
|
0.0350
|
0.1192
|
0.0048
|
0.0996
|
0.0723
|
1.9757
|
0.0716
|
|
c4
|
0.1540
|
0.1760
|
0.3370
|
0.0085
|
0.0251
|
0.3031
|
0.0889
|
0.0990
|
1.6634
|
0.0603
|
|
c5
|
0.4967
|
0.0313
|
0.1006
|
0.0059
|
0.3487
|
0.0140
|
0.0237
|
0.0031
|
1.4615
|
0.0530
|
|
c6
|
0.3890
|
0.0127
|
0.0037
|
0.0096
|
0.0012
|
0.2809
|
0.0417
|
0.0932
|
1.3262
|
0.0481
|
|
c7
|
0.0052
|
0.0706
|
0.0028
|
0.0746
|
0.0028
|
0.0237
|
0.0029
|
0.0074
|
1.1636
|
0.0422
|
|
c8
|
0.5151
|
0.0199
|
0.0577
|
0.0058
|
0.1033
|
0.0136
|
0.0797
|
0.0075
|
0.9895
|
0.0359
|
|
c9
|
0.0063
|
0.0853
|
0.2118
|
0.0446
|
0.0225
|
0.0007
|
0.0006
|
0.1225
|
1.2938
|
0.0469
|
|
c10
|
0.0333
|
0.0049
|
0.0000
|
0.0006
|
0.0146
|
0.0245
|
0.0018
|
0.2114
|
0.7434
|
0.0270
|
|
c11
|
0.1147
|
0.0250
|
0.0037
|
0.0401
|
0.0120
|
0.2393
|
0.0027
|
0.2111
|
1.1971
|
0.0434
|
|
c12
|
0.0025
|
0.0000
|
0.0246
|
0.0041
|
0.0079
|
0.0296
|
0.0296
|
0.0547
|
1.0243
|
0.0371
|
|
c13
|
0.0006
|
0.0004
|
0.0237
|
0.0030
|
0.0485
|
0.0114
|
0.5488
|
0.0602
|
1.4434
|
0.0523
|
|
c14
|
0.4861
|
0.1875
|
0.0322
|
0.0371
|
0.0063
|
0.0924
|
0.0734
|
0.0097
|
1.2112
|
0.0439
|
|
c15
|
0.9789
|
0.0000
|
0.0033
|
0.0000
|
0.0018
|
0.0001
|
0.0021
|
0.0000
|
1.0014
|
0.0363
|
|
c16
|
0.0009
|
0.0001
|
0.0041
|
0.0003
|
0.0005
|
0.0004
|
0.9405
|
0.0000
|
0.9621
|
0.0349
|
|
c17
|
0.0439
|
0.0228
|
0.1166
|
0.0051
|
0.3894
|
0.0104
|
0.0223
|
0.0016
|
1.0895
|
0.0395
|
|
c18
|
0.4095
|
0.0315
|
0.1297
|
0.0000
|
0.0205
|
0.0131
|
0.0134
|
0.0160
|
1.0474
|
0.0380
|
|
c19
|
0.0576
|
0.0298
|
0.0686
|
0.0037
|
0.0522
|
0.0037
|
0.0172
|
0.0170
|
1.3432
|
0.0487
|
|
c20
|
0.2246
|
0.0388
|
0.1387
|
0.0031
|
0.1332
|
0.0368
|
0.0428
|
0.0247
|
1.5454
|
0.0560
|
|
c21
|
0.0069
|
0.0175
|
0.0295
|
0.0441
|
0.2687
|
0.0401
|
0.0106
|
0.0088
|
1.3986
|
0.0507
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
表4 优度计算结果
| |
V1
|
V2
|
V3
|
V4
|
V5
|
V6
|
V7
|
V8
|
V9
|
|
优度
|
0.1102
|
0.1117
|
0.0830
|
0.0886
|
0.0707
|
0.0982
|
0.0589
|
0.0655
|
0.0546
|
| |
V10
|
V11
|
V12
|
V13
|
V14
|
V15
|
V16
|
V17
|
|
|
优度
|
0.1927
|
0.0458
|
0.0690
|
0.0326
|
0.0799
|
0.0635
|
0.1026
|
0.0615
|
|
根据各市的优度大小可得17个区域的优劣顺序，由上表可以看出省会城市合肥并不是房地产可持续能力最强的，排在前五位的依次是马鞍山、淮北、合肥、安庆和阜阳。这个评价结果和实际基本是一致的。
结束语
本文在构建安徽省房地产可持续发展能力指标体系的基础上，对安徽省17个城市的21个指标关于房地产可持续发展能力做出了定性与定量的分析，从而地方政府领导的决策提供了客观、准确的依据，也为房地产开发商进行有效的决策提供了新的方法。实际上，可以运用这种方法对其他省市进行房地产可持续发展能力评价。
参考文献：
[1]王润良,杨芳,刘志强.城市房地产业可持续发展能力比较研究[J].2009.
[2]郑国明.澳门房地产可持续发展的研究：[D].武汉：华中科技大学.2004：44-52.
[3]林素珊.中国房地产业可持续发展现状分析：[D].厦门：厦门大学.2006：32
[4]郑咸亨．房地产业可持续发展及指标体系讲究：[D].重庆：重庆大学.2003：86-98．
[5]尹子民，初明畅.城市房地产业可是徐发展的实证分析与研究.中国管理信息化》2007(11):31-32
[6]蔡文，杨春燕，林伟初.可拓工程方法[M].北京：科学出版社，2000.
[7]蔡文.可拓学概述[J].系统工程理论与实践，1998，18（1）：76-83.
[8]李桥兴，刘思峰.关于关联度离差赋权的可拓方法[J].广州工业大学学报，2007，24
2/2 首页 上一页 1 2 |
